Researchers then used machine learning techniques to build models, based on metabolomic data, that would accurately discriminate between psoriasis patients and controls. The specific technique they used is known as the random forest algorithm, a method that is popular in bioinformatics. One of the models they described in their study report, based on 15 metabolites, had a 77% sensitivity and 74% specificity averaged across five repetitions.
Statistical models such as these could potentially be used to help diagnose the disease and monitor the treatment’s effectiveness.
“We are living in very exciting times where a lot of resources are directed into machine learning and artificial intelligence,” Mr. Ottas says. “Our hope is that one day, these types of statistical models help the doctors deal with the disease better, thus freeing their time for other important medical procedures.”
The hope is that these statistical models will be useful independent from visible symptoms, which would help to diagnose the disease in its earliest stages. “This would also enable non-dermatologists to diagnose the disease better, and perhaps even enable the patients to screen their progression themselves, like we have with diabetes currently,” Mr. Ottas adds.
Results from this study are the latest to provide metabolomic insights into psoriasis, though literature in this field is very limited.
In one of the key metabolomic studies of psoriasis to date, Kamleh and colleagues2 found changes in specific free-circulating amino acids, such as arginine, alanine, proline, and glutamate. They found that treatment with etanercept, the TNF-alpha receptor blocker, led to a normalization of the amino acid levels.
Another study of psoriasis metabolomics, published by Armstrong and colleagues,3 showed that patients with the disease had higher concentrations of glucuronic acid and alpha ketoglutaric acid, along with lower levels of glutamine and asparagine. They also found that, in comparison to patients with psoriasis alone, patients with both psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis had lower levels of alpha ketoglutaric acid and higher levels of lignoceric acid.
Now, these latest findings from Mr. Ottas and colleagues provide a snapshot of the metabolomic serum profile of psoriasis, along with some new statistical tools that could have utility in disease monitoring.
“The future is man and computers working together even more closely,” Mr. Ottas says. “Embracing this now will help to accelerate the onset of a medical age where doctors will have computer-based tools at their disposal which help the patients, reduce costs, and save time.”
Disclosures: Mr. Ottas reports no relevant conflicts of interest.
1. Ottas A, Fishman D, Okas TL, Kingo K, Soomets U. The metabolic analysis of psoriasis identifies the associated metabolites while providing computational models for the monitoring of the disease. 1. Arch Dermatol Res. 2017 Jul 10. doi: 10.1007/s00403-017-1760-1. [Epub ahead of print]
2. Armstrong AW, Wu J, Johnson MA, Grapov D., Azizi B, Dhillon J, Fiehn O. Metabolomics in psoriatic disease: pilot study reveals metabolite differences in psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis. F1000Res. 2014 Oct 21;3:248. doi: 10.12688/f1000research.4709.1. eCollection 2014.
3. Kamleh MA, Snowden SG, Grapov D, Blackburn GJ, Watson DG, Xu N, Ståhle M, Wheelock CE. LC-MS metabolomics of psoriasis patients reveals disease severity-dependent increases in circulating amino acids that are ameliorated by anti-TNFα treatment. J Proteome Res. 2015 Jan 2;14(1):557-66. doi: 10.1021/pr500782g. Epub 2014 Nov 12.